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Bali Property Market in Decline?

Downturn in Bali Property Business May be Short Term and Cyclical


Bali News: Bali Property Market in Decline?
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(4/20/2014)

The Bali Post reports that the property business in Indonesia as a whole, including Bali, is predicted to decline during 2014.

An observer of the local property market in Bali, I Wayan Sukarja, said on April 15, 2014, the decline will act as a natural filter, determining if new developers will be able to endure and survive.

Sukarja said property transactions are weakening at the current time as part of a natural cycle in the property market now on a downward swing. This is happening after a buying surge over the past few years.

“The decline is as much as 49%, Implementation of Loan to Value parameters are forcing developers not to sell homes on mortgage, leaving them in a difficult situation,” said Sukarja.

At the present time, an application for a homeowner’s loan (KPR) can only be processed by a bank if the construction of the subject home is 70% complete. Moreover, there are some banks now demanding that homes to be purchased on creditmust be 100% finished before a loan can be approved.

Sukarja said this situation means that strong and well-funded developers will survive while financially weak developers are in danger of bankruptcy.

Regarding skyrocketing property values in Bali, Sukarja sees high property prices as having a minimal effect. This is because Bali's land is seen as both unique and of limited supply. At the same time, Bali property remains cheaper than land parcels in other property markets in Asia, such as Singapore. In Sukarja’s view, any downturn in the number of property transactions in Bali is most likely connected to economic policies and domestic politics.

“Property prices in Bali are still affordable in the marketplace. Policies of Loan to Value ratios are presently clogging the process,” he explained.

Sukarja said any weakness in the Bali property market was temporary in nature, He predicts that by the end of 2014 prices will again begin to climb and demand will increase for at least the three coming years. “I am convinced that following the Presidential election the market will grow and become active again. What’s more, consumer demand in Bali is very high and the government must take a role in meeting public housing demand,” he added.


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