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Staging a Comeback of Sorts

Bali by the Numbers: August Arrivals Regain Some Loss Ground in Bali Arrivals


(9/30/2012)

A degree of relief was provided by August 2012 foreign tourist arrivals to Bali, which improved 1.27% month-on-month after declining in July by 6.92%. This moderate turn-around resulted from 254,020 foreign visitors coming to Bali in August.

Click Image to Enlarge



On an aggregate basis, January – August 2012 arrivals totaled 1,882,559 - up 4.57% over the same 8-month period one year before.

The slow down in the rate-of-growth of tourist arrivals means that the year-on-year 4.57% growth achieved through the end of August seems certain to decline each month over the course of Q4 2012. As a result, Bali will most probably end the year with total arrivals very near or even slightly less than the 2.756 million visitors achieved for all of 2011.

Results by Major Markets

Click Image to Enlarge


Australia – After several years of continual growth the sudden movement of Australian arrivals into negative territory in August is of concern, declining 5.6% month-on-month with 65,002 visitors from Down Under.

On a cumulative basis through the month of August, arrivals from Australia are up 6.09%. Apparently the days of double-digit growth in Australian arrivals to Bali are now a thing of the past.

People’s Republic of China – PRC arrivals in August improved 10.62% with 29,092 Mainland Chinese visitors coming to Bali.

For the first 8 months of 2012 PRC visitors are up 35.42%.

Japan – There’s an increasingly optimistic picture emerging as Japanese arrivals are clearly on the mend. August represents the third month in 2012 in which positive growth was recorded ex-Japan after an extended period of month-after-month declining results. August saw 20,852 Japanese visitors come to Bali – an improvement of 15.49% over the same month one year before.
Click Image to Enlarge



On a cumulative basis, Japanese arrivals are down only 1.6% for the period January – August 2012. And, if the current trend of improving arrivals continues over the coming four months Japan will record positive growth for the year.

Malaysia – After seeing Malaysian arrival surge 63.9% in July, arrivals from Malaysia cooled in August improving month-on-month by only 1% with 12,368 Malaysian visitors.

On a cumulative basis, Malaysian arrivals are up 6.98% through the first 8 months of 2012.

South Korean – Tourist visitors from South Korea declined month-on-month 12.8% in August with 9,735 visitors to Bali. Business ex-Korea appears troubled with July visitors also down 19.7%.

On a cumulative basis, South Korean visitors for the first eight months of 2012 are now in negative territory down 1.9%. Expect South Korean to record negative growth for the year unless a sudden resurgence from that market takes place in Quarter 4 of 2012.

United Kingdom – After declining month-on-month by 16.28% in July, U.K. visitors staged something of a comeback in August improving 2.1% with 11,513 visitors for the month.

On a cumulative basis, U.K. arrivals are up 6.5% for the first 8 months of 2012.

France – French tourists to Bali declined month-on-month by 40.6% in July but recovered in August improving 4.8% with 18.103 French visitors. Year-on-year French visitors January – August are down 6.42%,

Taiwan – Taiwan tourism to Bali remains troubled. July visitors’ ex-Taiwan to Bali declined 64.13%. In August 8.103 Taiwanese visitors to Bali represented a decline of 21.8% as compared to the same month one year before.

U.S.A. – U.S. visitors to Bali in August totaled 6,640 improving 3.04% over August 2011.Year-on-year U.S. visitors to Bali are up 7.23%.
Germany – Raising concerns with a decline in July of 41.18% in German visitors, August arrival improved 5.16% month-on-month with 10,962 German visitors. On a cumulative basis, January – August 2012 the German market is down 0.48%.

Russia – Russian arrivals also dipped dramatically in July declining 33.8%. That dismal situation improved in August when Russian arrivals improved 1% month-on-month with 4,340 visitors. For the first 8 months of the year Russian arrivals are up 3.72%.

The Netherlands
– Similarly, Dutch arrivals crawled their way back in August, Declining month-on-month 51.45% in July, that situation improved in August when Dutch arrivals declined a more modest 2.8% with 6,295 visitors. Year-on-year Dutch tourism to Bali is down 13.78% through the end of August 2012.
 


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