While Balidiscovery.com’s continuing coverage of trends in new COVID-19 cases and deaths documents a worrying surge that emerged since early July 2021, the most current batch of statistics provided from official sources indicates that the recent wave in the epidemic may finally be on the wane.
Balidiscovery.com and Bali Update pays full homage to Ubud-based researcher and statistician Jackie Pomeroy, who maintains a thoughtful vigil on COVID-19 developments in Bali and prepares the very informative graphs accompanying our coverage.
What do the evolving numbers and charts show?
- Demonstrating a continuing decline in new cases, on 29 August there were only 302 new cases in Bali and 48 deaths. Both of these figures represent marked improvements. Daily new cases just ten days before surpassed 1,000, while deaths recorded on 16 August reached 206.
- According to the National Task Force for COVID-19 (BNPB), the nationwide daily count for 27 August 2021 was 12,618 new cases, 19,920 recoveries, 599 deaths, and 236,317 active cases.
- A total of 107,500 individuals tested nationwide on 27 August 2021 resulting in a positivity rate of 11.7%. Meanwhile, the national average rate of positivity over seven days was 13.5%.
- Bali vaccination numbers for 27 Aug 2021 were: First dose 3,161,938 (73.2% of the population); second dose 1,743,618 (40.4% of the population); 72,726 additional doses were injected on 28 August 2021. Percentage figures are based on the population numbers from the National Statistic Bureau (BPS) population census for 2020.
Since 05 July 2021, the number of new COVID cases in Bali had increased steadily prior to the latest trending decline starting from 15 August 2021. The raw data presented below tracks daily new COVID-19 cases from 05 July through 29 August. Also shown starting from 12 July 2021, the number of daily cases recorded in Bali’s capital city of Denpasar (DPS) and the southern regency of Badung.
- 05 July 401 new cases
- 06 July 424 new cases
- 07 July 505 new cases
- 08 July 577 new cases
- 09 July 674 new cases
- 10 July 678 new cases
- 11 July 563 new cases
- 12 July 654 new cases – DPS 293 – Badung 140
- 13 July 723 new cases – DPS 277 – Badung 116
- 14 July 791 new cases – DPS 343 – Badung 151
- 15 July 843 new cases – DPS 362 – Badung 144
- 16 July 885 new cases – DPS 357 – Badung 141
- 17 July 1,019 new cases – DPS 388 – Badung 185
- 18 July 944 new cases – DPS 347 – Badung 195
- 19 July 944 new cases – DPS 347 – Badung 195
- 20 July 837 new cases – DPS 409 – Badung 195
- 21 July 990 new cases – DPS 321 – Badung 184
- 22 July 1,111 new cases – DPS 544 – Badung 234
- 23 July 1,407 new cases – DPS 541 – Badung 273
- 24 July 1,057 new cases – DPS 361 – Badung 184
- 25 July 990 new cases – DPS 321 – Badung 184
- 26 July 990 new cases – DPS 436 – Badung 210
- 27 July 1078 new cases – DPS 436 – Badung 210
- 28 July 1452 new cases – DPS 432 – Badung 233
- 29 July 1119 new cases – DPS 325 – Badung 167
- 30 July 1119 new cases – DPS 325 – Badung 167
- 31 July 1365 new cases – DPS 589 – Badung 198
- 01 Aug 1146 new cases – DPS 383 – Badung 199
- 02 Aug 1044 new cases – DPS 508 – Badung 178
- 03 Aug 1408 new cases – DPS 638 – Badung 216
- 04 Aug 1362 new cases – DPS 547 – Badung 204
- 05 Aug 1470 new cases – DPS 599 – Badung 193
- 06 Aug 1239 new cases – DPS 434 – Badung 204
- 07 Aug 1027 new cases – DPS 392 – Badung 162
- 08 Aug 1184 new cases – DPS 350 – Badung 271
- 09 Aug 1018 new cases – DPS 326 – Badung 228
- 10 Aug 1411 new cases – DPS 546 – Badung 174
- 11 Aug 1270 new cases – DPS 435 – Badung 166
- 12 Aug 1353 new cases – DPS 370 – Badung 262
- 13 Aug 1910 new cases – DPS 659 – Badung 295
- 14 Aug 1795 new cases – DPS 595 – Badung 368
- 15 Aug 1071 new cases – DPS 266 – Badung 188
- 16 Aug 888 new cases – DPS 227 – Badung 206
- 17 Aug 988 new cases – DPS 293 – Badung 179
- 18 Aug 734 new cases – DPS 176 – Badung 137
- 19 Aug 1032 new cases – DPS 287 – Badung 191
- 20 Aug 1039 new cases – DPS 298 – Badung 188
- 21 Aug 849 new cases – DPS 241 – Badung 175
- 22 Aug 583 new cases – DPS 159 – Badung 81
- 23 Aug 434 new cases – DPS 111 – Badung 86
- 24 Aug 934 new cases – DPS 242 – Badung 153
- 25 Aug 746 new cases – DPS 187 – Badung 113
- 26 Aug 565 new cases – DPS 175 – Badung 100
- 27 Aug 558 new cases – DPS 133 – Badung 111
- 28 Aug 474 new cases – DPS 116 – Badung 75
- 29 Aug 302 new cases – DPS 89 – Badung 48
The latest figures represent welcome news and an apparent vindication of government steps to thwart the rise in COVID-19 cases through limitations on public movements, aggressive inoculation programs, and strict application of health protocols.
At the same time, many in Bali are concerned that the convergence of two major Balinese holy days (Saraswati 28 August and Pagerwesti 01 September) could precipitate a new wave of infections resulting from group clusters at ceremonial gatherings.
Again, Bali Update thanks Jack Pomeroy for her meticulous statistical work, without which these reports would not be possible
Related Links
Bali COVID-19 Update Group on FaceBook
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Jackie Pomeroy–Bali’s Go-to Lady on COVID19